BY now, almost all teams have played 10 matches in the IPL 2025, and it can be said, that at least two of them — RCB and GT are almost through. Of course, after a heavy loss to PBKS on Wednesday, MS Dhoni’s CSK are out, and chances look bleak for KKR and SRH as well. More than the scenarios, one also needs to look at the %age, each team has to make it to the next round.
IPL 2025 Playoff Qualification Probability
| Pos | Team | Points | Matches Played | Remaining | Qualification Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 14 | 10 | 4 | 91% |
| 2 | Punjab Kings | 13 | 10 | 4 | 90% |
| 3 | Mumbai Indians | 12 | 10 | 4 | 80-85% |
| 4 | Gujarat Titans | 12 | 9 | 5 | 85% |
| 5 | Delhi Capitals | 11 | 10 | 4 | 60-65% |
| 6 | Lucknow Super Giants | 10 | 10 | 4 | 50% |
| 7 | Kolkata Knight Riders | 10 | 10 | 4 | 45% |
| 8 | Rajasthan Royals | 8 | 9 | 5 | 25% |
| 9 | Sunrisers Hyderabad | 7 | 9 | 5 | 10-15% |
| 10 | Chennai Super Kings (E) | 4 | 10 | 4 | 0% |
Analysis of All IPL Teams
RCB
Current Status: 10 matches, 14 points, NRR +0.521, 4 matches left
The team is in an excellent position to finish at the top of the table, qualification is guaranteed, as they just need one win in four matches left, to reach the 16-point mark.
Remaining Matches: CSK (home), LSG (away), SRH (home), KKR (home)
PBKS
Current Status: 10 matches, 13 points, NRR +0.199, 4 matches left.
Once again, the qualification is certain. A win will seal the deal for them. Only four losses now could mean a disqualification for the Shreyas Iyer-led team.
Remaining Matches: LSG (Home), DC (Home), MI (Home), RR (Away)
MI
Current Status: 10 matches, 12 points, NRR +0.889, 4 matches left.
MI need 2 wins for 16 points, a safe cutoff, with their high NRR giving them an advantage in ties. 3 wins take them to 18 points, ensuring a top-2 spot.
Remaining Matches: RR (Away), GT (Home), PBKS (Away), DC (Home)
GT
Current Status: 9 matches, 12 points, NRR +0.748, 5 matches left.
GT have an extra match, needing 2 wins for 16 points, likely qualifying. 3 wins take them to 18 points, with their strong NRR ensuring tiebreaker advantages.
Remaining Matches: SRH (Home), MI (Away), DC (Away), LSG (Home), CSK (Home)
DC
Current Status: 10 matches, 12 points, NRR +0.362, 4 matches left.
DC need 2 wins for 16 points, but their NRR is lower than MI and GT, so they might need 3 wins for 18 points to be safe in ties.
Remaining Matches: SRH (Away), PBKS (Away), GT (Home), MI (Away)
LSG
Current Status: 10 matches, 10 points, NRR -0.325, 4 matches left.
LSG need 3 wins for 16 points, necessary for playoffs. 2 wins give 14 points, but their negative NRR makes qualification risky unless other teams falter.
Remaining Matches: PBKS (Away), RCB (Home), GT (Away), SRH Home)
KKR
Current Status: 10 matches, 9 points, NRR +0.271, 4 matches left.
KKR need 3 wins for 15 points, possible with positive NRR. 4 wins to 17 points would be safer. But then, erratic form has been a worry and qualification looks out of question for now.
Remaining Matches: RR (Home), CSK (Home), SRH (Away), RCB (Away)
RR
Current Status: 10 matches, 6 points, NRR -0.349, 4 matches left.
RR need to win all 4 remaining matches for 14 points. Vaibhav Suryavanshi is playing well, but then one slip-up, and they are goners.
Remaining Matches: MI (Home), KKR (Away), CSK (Away), PBKS (Home)
SRH
Current Status: 9 matches, 6 points, NRR -1.103, 5 matches left.
SRH need 4-5 wins for 14-16 points, a near-impossible task given their poor NRR. They have an extra match up their sleeve, but then they must be considered all but ruled out.
Key Matches: GT (Away), DC (Home), KKR (Home), RCB (Away), LSG (Away)
CSK
Current Status: 10 matches, 4 points, NRR -1.211, 4 matches left.
CSK is out now. They have failed to qualify for the IPL playoffs, second time on the trot.
Remaining Matches: RCB (Away), KKR (Away), RR (Home), GT (Away)
The post IPL Playoff Qualification Probability: RCB all but through, DC, LSG & KKR in perilous position appeared first on Inside Sport India.