Boxer Chandni Mehra

PBKS vs LSG Match Prediction: Who will win today’s IPL 2025 Match?

It’s the race to the IPL 2025 playoffs. Punjab Kings and Lucknow Super Giants are two wins away from making it to the playoffs. With four matches left in the league stage, both teams are desperate to make every match count. However, the weather could play spoilsport. As PBKS host LSG in Dharamshala, their second home, there is a 40-50% chance of rain throughout the match. If it rains again, PBKS will be in a spot of bother. They have already shared points with Kolkata, and another shared point will somehow dampen their chances of the playoffs.

Match Details

  • Date: May 4, 2025
  • Venue: Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, Dharamshala
  • Time: 7:30 PM IST
  • Broadcast: Star Sports Network/ JioHotstar
  • Weather Forecast: Slightly cloudy with temperatures between 15-19°C, 80% humidity, and a 45% chance of light rain, which may lead to a reduced overs match.

PBKS vs LSG Match Preview

PBKS and LSG are both in contention for the playoffs, with PBKS sitting fourth with six wins and four losses (including one washout). LSG are sixth with five wins from ten matches. PBKS come off a morale-boosting four-wicket win against Chennai Super Kings.

LSG, however, are under pressure after consecutive losses to Delhi Capitals and Mumbai Indians. It has dented their net run rate and playoff hopes. This match is critical for LSG, who need at least three wins from their remaining four games to stay in the playoff race. PBKS, playing at their second home in Dharamshala, hold an advantage due to their familiarity with the conditions and recent form.

Recent Form

  • Punjab Kings: PBKS have been in strong form, winning six of their ten matches. Their recent four-wicket victory over CSK at Chepauk made it easier with Shreyas Iyer leading from the front. The top order, led by Priyansh Arya and Prabhsimran Singh, has been consistent, averaging 53.33 at a strike rate of 181.81 away from home. However, their middle order has struggled at home venues, averaging just 19.84. Arshdeep Singh and Yuzvendra Chahal have been key in the bowling department, with Chahal taking a hat-trick in the last game.
  • Lucknow Super Giants: LSG have had an inconsistent run, with five wins in ten matches. Their recent 54-run loss to Mumbai Indians exposed vulnerabilities in their middle and lower order, which average just 21 away from home. Aiden Markram has been their standout batter, scoring 191 runs in the last five matches, but Nicholas Pooran’s form has dipped, averaging 23.30 recently. Digvesh Rathi has been economical with the ball, taking 10 wickets at an economy of 7.75. But, LSG’s bowling unit needs to step up.

Dharamshala weather report

According to weather forecasts, Dharamshala on May 4, 2025, will see temperatures ranging from 15°C to 27°C. The evening is likely to be cooler, around 18-19°C, with a 30% chance of light rain or thunderstorms, which could interrupt play. Humidity will be high at 81%, and southeast winds at 12 km/h may assist swing bowlers. Significant cloud cover is expected, and while a full washout is unlikely, a delayed start or reduced-overs match is possible. Fans and teams should prepare for potential weather disruptions.

Dharamshala Pitch Report

The HPCA Stadium in Dharamshala is known for favoring batters due to its flat surface and high altitude, which allows the ball to travel further. The pitch offers good bounce, benefiting both pacers and batsmen. Fast bowlers can extract early swing due to moisture, particularly in the evening.

Historically, teams batting first have won eight out of 13 IPL matches at this venue, with an average first-innings score of 184. Spinners may find some assistance in the middle overs, but the short boundaries favor aggressive batting. Light rain could make the surface slightly tacky, potentially aiding seamers.

PBKS vs LSG Head-to-Head

  • Total Matches: 5
  • LSG Wins: 3
  • PBKS Wins: 2
  • At Dharamshala: This is LSG’s first IPL match at this venue.
  • Recent Encounter: In their earlier clash in IPL 2025 (Match 13, Lucknow), PBKS defeated LSG by eight wickets, chasing 171 with ease, thanks to Shreyas Iyer’s unbeaten 52 and Arshdeep Singh’s three wickets.

Predicted Playing 11

PBKS Predicted XI

Punjab Kings are likely to stick to the winning combination. Glenn Maxwell has been ruled out and that could be a huge problem.

Priyansh Arya, Prabhsimran Singh, Shreyas Iyer (c), Josh Inglis (wk), Nehal Wadhera, Shashank Singh, Marco Jansen, Azmatullah Omarzai, Suryansh Shedge, Xavier Bartlett, Arshdeep Singh

Impact Subs: Yuzvendra Chahal, Musheer Khan, Vijaykumar Vyshak, Praveen Dubey

LSG Predicted XI

Despite their consecutive losses, it is unlikely that LSG will change the combination. However, LSG could rejig the batting order a bit.

Aiden Markram, Mitchell Marsh, Nicholas Pooran, Rishabh Pant (c & wk), David Miller, Abdul Samad, Ayush Badoni, Digvesh Singh Rathi, Ravi Bishnoi, Avesh Khan, Prince Yadav, Mayank Yadav

Impact Subs: Shahbaz Ahmed, Himmat Singh, Yuvraj Chaudhary, Akash Maharaj Singh

PBKS vs LSG Match Prediction

Punjab Kings hold the upper hand in this contest due to their superior recent form, familiarity with Dharamshala conditions, and a balanced team combination. Their top-order batting, led by Shreyas Iyer and Priyansh Arya, is in excellent touch, and their bowling attack, featuring Arshdeep Singh and Yuzvendra Chahal, is well-suited to exploit early swing and spin-friendly conditions. LSG, despite their strong batting lineup with Aiden Markram and Nicholas Pooran, are struggling with middle-order inconsistencies and a lack of momentum. Their inexperience at Dharamshala and recent losses tilt the scales in PBKS’s favor.

  • Win Probability: Punjab Kings 60%, Lucknow Super Giants 40%
  • Predicted Outcome: Punjab Kings are likely to win by a margin of 15-20 runs or 6-8 wickets, depending on the toss and weather conditions. A rain-affected game could make it closer, but PBKS’s depth gives them the edge.

The post PBKS vs LSG Match Prediction: Who will win today’s IPL 2025 Match? appeared first on Inside Sport India.

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